CPI rises at 22-month high, agricultural listed companies are on ice

The National Bureau of Statistics released data on September 11. In August, China's consumer price (CPI) rose by 3.5% year-on-year, which was an increase of 0.2% from the previous month and a record high. According to Sheng Laiyun, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics, “In August, the CPI exceeded 3% again. The increase in the price of agricultural products contributed about 70% to the new price increase factor, which was mainly due to the increase in agricultural product prices.” According to experts interviewed, the price of agricultural products has risen, and agricultural listed companies have been on ice for two days, which is detrimental to the food processing industry. However, companies engaged in agriculture, seeds, and fishery have risen.

Ice: The gross profit margin of the food processing industry declined in August, and the CPI rose by 3.5% year-on-year in August, the highest since November 2008, which was a 0.6% increase from the previous month and the increase in price increases. On the one hand, the high CPI innovation is due to the influence of the hikes; on the other hand, it is mainly due to the large increase in food prices in August. In August, food prices rose by 7.5% year-on-year and 2% month-on-month. Food prices accounted for nearly 30% of the CPI, which has a greater impact on CPI inflation. PPI rose 4.3% year-on-year, which was caused by the rebound in the prices of some bulk products. The PPI rose by 0.4% month-on-month.

Dongyuan Securities analyst Lu Yuanyuan said, “CPI rose by 3.5% year-on-year, hitting a 22-month high, mainly due to price increases of agricultural products, rising raw material prices. The main affected are the food processing industry, short-term gross margin decline, and negative impact on large companies. Smaller, because of its cost transferability, through cost-shifting methods such as product upgrades, but if small- and medium-sized enterprises do not have economies of scale and brand awareness, price increases cannot be raised, and new product development takes time. The dairy products companies in China were affected significantly, faced with cost pressures and reduced gross profit. Supermarkets and commerce companies had little impact."

"Securities Daily" reporter called New Hope (000 876), New Hope board of directors office related sources said: "We are embarking on corporate restructuring, and other matters to be easy to say after the reorganization."

Subsequently, the reporter called electro-bright dairy (600,597), the staff said: "Dairy products companies to increase the ability to resist risks, have to think of measures to deal with." It is understood that on July 19, Bright Dairy has announced that it decided to buy 382 million yuan New Zealand dairy powder production and processing company SynlaitMilkLimited 51% stake in East China Sea Securities believes that in the current milk source war to seize the excellent base of milk, catch the current import milk powder hot ride, but from the current situation, the company's fundamentals Has little effect.

Fire: Agricultural stocks rose up. A national statistics bureau issued an announcement in July. In 2010, the total output of summer grain in China was 12.31 million tons (244.2 billion kilograms), which was 390,000 tons (800 million kilograms) less than the previous year, a decrease of 0.3%. According to Merrill Lynch, China may import at least 2.3 million tons of corn in 2010/11 (October to September), and China, as the world’s second-largest corn consumer, may maintain its status as a net importer of corn for the second consecutive year. The bad weather hurt China's domestic corn harvest. International and domestic situations have aggravated the rise in prices of agricultural products.

Agricultural products rose a bit, benefiting from the rise in CPI, inflation expectations, investors have psychological support, and agricultural shares are also gaining popularity. Of the 47 agricultural stocks, 45 agricultural stocks have outperformed the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index since July, accounting for 96% of the total number of stocks in the sector. For example, Minqiaoqiao, Oriental Ocean, Dunhuang Seed, Zhangzidao and other stocks rose by more than 50%. The related person of Dunhuang Seed Industry (600354) told the “Securities Daily” reporter: “Our main products are seeds such as corn and cotton, and the price is better than last year. The company’s first-half results turn a profit, benefiting from the state’s supporting policies for agriculture. The western development policy and favorable policies have a positive impact on the western province of agriculture and on investor psychology.” This has also led to the growth of Chinese businessmen, steady growth of ICBC Credit Suisse, the recovery of China’s stocks, leading Chinese companies, China’s bonuses, and Penghua’s growth. , Huaxia reward fund of all ages.

Since sea cucumber production will begin to increase in volume this year, the price of aquatic products has remained high this year, and industry experts expect it to remain high in the second half of the year. The relevant person of Zhangzidao (002069) told the “Securities Daily” reporter: “Our products are mainly scallops and sea cucumbers. This year's prices have risen compared to last year. The output has also increased. The market demand is also strong. Products are sold throughout the country.” Oriental The relevant person of the Ocean (002086) told the reporter of the Securities Daily: “We are mainly engaged in sea cucumbers, expensive fish, kelp seedlings, etc. Now that the sea cucumber is not in the fishing season, we can wait until the sales season to see it. But since the spring of this year, Look, the selling price of sea cucumbers is about 50% higher than last year. We mainly sell them to wholesalers, and they further process them. At present, we have a sea cucumber raising project. The output has been increasing year by year in the past two or three years."

A subsidiary of Yasheng Group (600108), Yasheng International Trade Group Co., Ltd., told a reporter from Securities Daily: “The prices of barley and corn that we export to Southeast Asia and Eastern Europe are all rising.” But the State Council Development Research Center Zhang Liqun, a researcher at the Ministry of Macroeconomics, said: "The August CPI did not exceed expectations. Everyone can see that there are many new price increases, but many new price increases are not sustainable."

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